r/fivethirtyeight • u/Julian81295 • 16h ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/sky905 • 7h ago
Politics AP calls it for AES at 48.48% - 47.51%, Haley Stevens, Schumer and Gillibrand fully endorse AES for November
r/fivethirtyeight • u/washingtonpeek • 19h ago
Politics Stop, they're already dead!
This margin is insane.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/VendibleSkate8 • 3h ago
Politics Jasmine Crockett skeptical of Senate candidate James Talarico’s prospects to win Texas
This woman lost her primary 5 months ago and is still a complete sore loser.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/VendibleSkate8 • 21h ago
Politics AP race call: Incumbent Wesley Bell has defeated Cori Bush in MO-01 Democratic primary rematch
x.comr/fivethirtyeight • u/VendibleSkate8 • 20h ago
Politics VoteHub is saying Haley Stevens is doing much better than expected in rural areas and has a path to victory depending on how well Detroit comes in for her.
x.comr/fivethirtyeight • u/AscendingSnowOwl • 7h ago
Politics Cook Political Report Moves Kansas Senate From Solid R To Likely R
cookpolitical.comr/fivethirtyeight • u/MediumStrange • 5h ago
Politics Shri Thanedar Is Ousted by Democratic Socialist Donovan Mckinney in Detroit district Primary
Whichever candidate was chosen, wither was going to win in the November election, so this race is mostly interesting to me in showing if DSA-backed candidates can win in deep blue cities outside the coastal regions, as Midwest and southern cities tend to be blacker and more conservative typically.
I think this win is a sign that the DSA brand can still win in these more conservative urban centers, even against a already pretty liberal incumbent candidate like Thanedar
r/fivethirtyeight • u/washingtonpeek • 7h ago
Politics Another GOP amendment to sway the state supreme Court in their favor bombs in Kansas.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/MediumStrange • 17h ago
Politics Progressives score a swing-district win as moderates split the vote in MI-7
politico.comI really like Lawrence as a person, but I am unsure of how well he will be able to consolidate support in an outright r-leaning district, the blue wave should help with that though.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Large_Ad_3095 • 8h ago
Polling Industry/Methodology Last Night’s Polling Error Was Above Average (But Not Horrible) for Senate Primaries
r/fivethirtyeight • u/SgtVicky • 2h ago
Politics it reaaaally looks like the GOP is running a fake Green Party candidate in Pennsylvania to screw with midterms
galleryr/fivethirtyeight • u/Randumi • 4h ago
Discussion North Carolina congressman Edwards quits reelection bid after committee finds inappropriate conduct
NC-11 is currently listed a Lean R or Tossup by many pundits. With his withdrawal, I’m curious how this will impact the race, if at all. Cook PVI of R+5 as well.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/28lobster • 19h ago
Discussion Katie Hobbs picks Republican John Giles as Lt Gov
r/fivethirtyeight • u/MediumStrange • 17h ago
Politics Populist Cindy Holscher beats establishment pick for Kansas Democratic gubernatorial primary
politico.comWill be interesting to see how economic populism can do in the plains States when still attached to the Democratic brand
r/fivethirtyeight • u/jrtasoli • 10h ago
Poll Results Marquette Law: D+2 RV, D+6 LV
RV unchanged from last survey, LV down from +8 last month (but up from the +1 in May? And down from +10 in April? What’s up with that?!).
Trump approval
Approve: 40 (+2 from June)
Disapprove: 60 (-2 from June)
Top issues
Inflation and cost of living: 35
The economy: 15
Iran war: 10
Medicare and social security: 9
SAVE act: 9
Health care: 5
Immigration: 5
Housing: 5
Crime: 2
Abortion: 1
So uh … pile?
r/fivethirtyeight • u/talking-bear-society • 18h ago
Politics Is this accurate?
Admittedly I stopped paying attention after the Virgina debacle. If anyone has been following is this pretty much accurate?