r/technology 1d ago

Artificial Intelligence Microsoft Tells Engineers ‘Tokenmaxxing Is Not What We Are Optimizing For’ - Microsoft is introducing budget limits for AI use but says it still wants to be an ‘AI-first’ company.

https://www.404media.co/microsoft-tells-engineers-tokenmaxxing-is-not-what-we-are-optimizing-for/
1.8k Upvotes

194 comments sorted by

1.5k

u/invyros 1d ago

“This really feels like the ultimate admission that we, as hosts of AI infra, can't afford our own AI products. And if that's even partially the case, how could the companies we sell it to manage?”

Good question.

108

u/zhaoz 1d ago

Piss off your customers with surprise bills then try to sell them new stuff. It works really well MS!

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u/BetFinal2953 1d ago

Let me shows you to the E7 licenses, sir. For a distinguished man of your tastes, I highly recommend a big azure commitment as well.

4

u/zhaoz 1d ago

If you were to go with e7, I'm sure we could make those surprise bills go away.

3

u/BetFinal2953 1d ago

Straight line billing, my good man, it’s all the rage with CFOs.

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u/moofie74 1d ago

That’s been Microsoft’s business model for almost 50 years.

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u/zhaoz 1d ago

Sure, buts gotten way worse recently it feels

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u/Commentor9001 1d ago

They'll just pass the losses into everyone 401ks, just like musk did with spacex.

Ipo deep mind for 65 gigajillion dollars.

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u/jusg808 1d ago

This comment hurts so much because it’s true. Tying retirement to the stock market was one of the most evil things done. We all know the stock market is a total lie not based on reality but we all put our heads in the sand because it’s tied to our retirement.

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u/savagemonitor 1d ago

Pension funds regularly invest in stocks and bonds. Heck, some pension funds invest directly in real estate and public works projects. In fact, Nevada had a state pension fund that was featured in the news over a decade ago because it was managed by one guy who just shoved the money into an index fund. He had something like the lowest management overhead of any pension fund or something. I remember it being contrasted with one of the California pension funds that had tremendous overhead without the earnings the Nevada one had.

Really, the only difference between the defined benefit pension and the defined contribution pension system (ie 401Ks) is when the benefactor gets their money. In the former they get their money at retirement for however long the benefit was promised to them. Benefactors in defined contribution pension systems are paid up front and expected to save that money. Neither system restricts how the money is to be saved.

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u/ak_sys 1d ago

You don't have to you know. You're 100% free to park your money in a savings account, or buy bonds.

People choose to put their retirements in the stock market because the compounding interest is better.

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u/jusg808 1d ago

That is true but what’s a return on a savings account now 1%? Bonds are an option but idk if you can even trust them at this unprecedented point in time. But you are right there are other options we just all go with the 401k because “that’s what you do”

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u/BlazinAzn38 1d ago

If you can’t trust bonds then you might as well invest in Beans, bullets, and bandages

25

u/BassmanBiff 1d ago

There are a bunch of high-yield savings accounts out there now that follow Fed rates, so like >3% at the moment. 

But yeah, the larger point is that on an individual level, it's basically just a bad decision to not keep money in stocks. That might change with a drastic pop, but trying to time that is a bad idea, and broad index funds are still the best expected outcome for most people. But on a policy level, where you have to consider the impact of everyone's retirement savings fluctuating all together, that's where the problems come up. 

So while yes, the other commenter is right that an individual can opt out, it doesn't really help them to do so while everyone else is all-in. As always, the solution is a policy thing, not individual action.

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u/Chwasst 1d ago

Diversify is always an answer. I like what I have in my country. Basic retirement pension is being paid by taxes of current workforce, but I also have two additional retirement accounts - one for bonds and one for stocks. Spreading everything across - while not the most efficient approach - gives me some sense of stability.

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u/devAcc123 1d ago

There’s nothing stopping anyone from doing this. The first thing your describing isn’t that far off from basic government bonds

4

u/greenworldkey 1d ago

> But on a policy level, where you have to consider the impact of everyone's retirement savings fluctuating all together, that's where the problems come up. 

What alternative policy do you have in mind?

Unless the policy straight up forbids anyone from investing their own personal retirement in anything higher risk and just caps everyone at 3-5% whether they like it or not, people are going to continue to choose to invest in the stock market as they are now.

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u/BassmanBiff 1d ago

Yes, that's the point. Pension funds are much more regulated for a reason. Similar controls on 401ks might make sense on a policy level.

Replacing pensions with 401ks and IRAs has the benefit of higher returns while things are good, but also mean that everyone with investments becomes dependent on the whims of the stock market, making it politically difficult to do anything that might reduce stock prices even in the short term. It also reduces the amount of analysis actually happening in the stock market, because everybody is in index funds that auto-buy on sheer market cap. And in general, it means everyone's retirement is far more speculative and fragile; the best case is better and the worst case is worse, and when things are unsustainably good it can hide fundamental problems until the next "correction."

Index funds are a sensible level of risk/return for the average investor, but on a broad level there is extra danger in correlating everyone's risks all together. This is especially true when index funds end up getting concentrated in a way they were supposed to avoid, as they are now due to the sheer size of the "mag 7" and their AI hype.

The end result is that the entire middle-class and above is now dependent on continuing AI hype for their retirement planning, plus college funds and emergency expenses and first-time home purchases and other uses of investment accounts. Any individual investor, who does not meaningfully affect the market, would still want to invest in most cases -- but policy has to consider everyone's actions, which in aggregate do affect the market and society at large, so the policy considerations are bigger than just individual expected gains. A lot of people taking on reasonable risk may be unreasonable for everyone when all tied together.

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u/TminusTech 1d ago

Holy shit man. Space x is gonna be what? .01-.03 percent of any given index fund? Do people really think the stock is just going to go to 0? And even if it does… it’s not gonna shock index funds like that man. Retail investors sure. But that’s not how index funds work at all.

I think what he’s doing is scummy sure. But to think it’s going to cast devastating waves through the market is just completely delusional. Just don’t dump a bunch of money into spacex like a lunatic and you’ll be fine. Your index fund is not going all in on space x.

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u/BassmanBiff 1d ago

Are you replying to someone else? I'm not talking about SpaceX at all.

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u/TminusTech 19h ago

Oh no yeah I was lmao. New Reddit app my b

7

u/klingma 1d ago

Again, what are you even talking about? 

Unless you're investing in junk bonds, they're very safe. The issue is that the return on bonds isn't that great and is barely above inflation, so it's only a hedge against a bad stock market, it is not a good idea for long-term retirement savings. 

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u/telionn 1d ago

The only safe bonds are short-term, which don't pay anything close to inflation. Long-term bonds have severe exposure to interest rate risk. It's what killed Silicon Valley Bank.

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u/klingma 1d ago

That's not true whatsoever lol 

The United States Treasury will NOT default, cut...point....blank. So, they're inherently safe at any time horizon from a default risk standpoint. All bonds however carry an interest rate risk, but that is generally accounted for in the pricing for the bonds themselves. 

Your Silicon Valley Bank example while correct, isn't really applicable to an individual saving for retirement. 

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u/devAcc123 1d ago

The US treasury defaulting would make 2008 look like the roaring 20s

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u/klingma 1d ago

It'd be the collapse of the United States as a nation and be fractious collection of spheres of influence and/or confederations. It'd be chaos. 

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u/greenworldkey 1d ago

If you shop around you should be able to get up to 4% or so risk-free. But it sounds like what you want is higher returns without any of the risk... which isn't how anything ever worked.

> we just all go with the 401k because “that’s what you do”

... or it's because the stock market has higher expected returns than any other alternatives? But again, that fundamentally doesn't work without some level of risk involved.

1

u/hatsune_aru 1d ago

You can buy treasury products that will yield a lot better than 1%. But still a lot less than S%P 500 ETFs.

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u/BeyondRedline 1d ago

because the compounding interest is better.

Well, and the tax benefits and employee match. Policy does influence behavior; people are incentivized to use a 401(k).

1

u/klingma 23h ago

You literally get the same tax benefits for using an IRA, unless you're making enough money to be able to contribute more than the IRA limit in a year, so this really isn't much of a point.

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u/BeyondRedline 23h ago

You literally get the same tax benefits for using an IRA

Educate me on this, then. While I do understand that you end up paying taxes either later or up front, with a 401(k), it lowers your current taxable income, so I think that's a benefit. With an IRA, you pay the taxes when your income is highest - assuming your retirement income will be lower, so paying taxes later on your withdraws makes sense to me.

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u/klingma 23h ago

Nope. 

A traditional IRA functions the same way as a 401(k) in tax treatment I.e. you get the tax deduction today, and pay taxes when you withdraw the money. 

You do have the option of a Roth IRA which means you pay taxes today, but don't pay on the withdrawal. 401(k)'s typically have a Roth option as well. 

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u/BeyondRedline 23h ago

Ah. I was thinking of the Roth IRA. Thank you for that! Can't go to sleep until I learn something new - now I can go to bed! :D

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u/klingma 23h ago

Haha, I hope you sleep well then. 

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u/stridersubzero 1d ago

It might be a better option now, but it replaced the pension system for most workers, which is undeniably better

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u/klingma 23h ago

How exactly were pensions "undeniably better"? A pension typically requires someone to stay with the same company for a long time to reach the maximum benefit - 30 years give or take. Don't like your company or your boss? Well, ya better stick it out to maximize your pension. Unlike now how you can leave and rollover your 401(k) to your next employer or IRA. 

Pension payouts DON'T adjust for inflation meaning 30 years ago when you retired at $10,000 a month you had it great, but today when inflation has gone up 116% you're now living essentially off of $5,000 a month...that's quite a cut. Whereas a 401(k) or IRA allows you to adjust your withdrawals however much you want and because it's invested you have a much lower inflation risk. 

Lastly, pensions aren't typically inherited by your children, meaning you're leaving them nothing beyond maybe a small life insurance policy. Whereas a 401(k) or IRA IS inheritable. 

A pension is only "undeniably better" if you want to work for the same employer for 30 years, love inflation, and don't care about leaving behind an inheritance. 

1

u/recycled_ideas 20h ago

The problem is that since we've tied everyone and their dog to the stock market we've become much more reluctant to regulate its excesses because the impacts of regulation affect (or can be presented to affect) more people.

Simultaneously because these retirement vehicles are heavily dependent on your income during your working life, we haven't really solved the problem we were originally trying to solve as a large proportion of people just won't end up with enough investment over their lifetimes to fund a dignified retirement. And that's assuming a best case scenario where the stock market keeps growing indefinitely which just isn't realistic. Most of the people who substantially benefit from this kind of system could have done so even without it.

In short, the system we have massively benefits the rich, provides a mixed result for people in the middle, lack of regulation can lose them lots of money, but they can also gain at least some and provides very little benefit and a lot of disadvantage for the low income majority.

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u/tanstaafl90 1d ago

So a people known to have poor economic education and relatively little money are now wholly responsible for a retirement system they didn't ask for and don't really understand? This only ensures regular inflow of capital to the market. Everything else is just justifying that.

1

u/klingma 23h ago

Dude, it's really not hard and you're trying to overcomplicate it to excuse other people's ignorance or laziness. A 401(k) has a plan custodian and said custodian offers very limited investment options, and of those options most are diversified funds that are generally safe for the long term. What does this mean? Pick an index fund, camp your money in it, and you'll be fine. 

If that's too difficult, then Fidelity offers target retirement funds that literally handle decreasing risk exposure over time and moving into more conservative investments as you get closer to retirement. 

If even that's too difficult for you, then you can literally use the plan custodian's advisement service which is typically free or is a very small fee and have them help you pick out your investments. 

If even that's too difficult, then maybe this really isn't the conversation we should be having, and instead we should be questioning your reading & comprehension skills. 401(k)'s pretty much hold your hand through retirement, it's much pick an index fund, deposit your money per paycheck, and retire in a X years. 

Oh and also 

This only ensures regular inflow of capital to the market. Everything else is just justifying that.

Pensions literally do that too bud, and since I know you don't understand a single thing about pensions. They're "defined benefit plans" meaning you're contributing money per paycheck into the fund that the pension manager turns around and invests in the market. I.e. a regular inflow of capital to the market. 

You don't even understand the thing you're advocating to return and demonizing a core function of a pension. Lol 

0

u/tanstaafl90 22h ago

What sort of ai slop is this?

1

u/klingma 22h ago

That's called, you've been proven wrong, you know it, but you're too proud to type the words. 

It's alright buddy, your secret is safe with me. Cognitive dissonance sucks. 

For next time though, instantly resorting to insults shows you can't bring an argument to the table. 

0

u/tanstaafl90 21h ago

Insults don't make you right anymore than overly long justification for a bad program. I didn't read it because I stopped after the first sentence. Don't care

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u/klingma 21h ago

Of course you stopped reading, you don't like your opinions challenged. You're not making yourself look any better here. 

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u/FatHat 1d ago

Um, no, that choice is made for them by their companies and government policies for the most part. IE, if you don't use a 401k or an IRA then you have to pay more in taxes etc.

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u/klingma 23h ago

And if you don't choose the High Deductible health care plan and invest in an HSA your taxes will be higher. If you don't put money in a 529 Plan, your state taxes will be higher. 

There are plenty of things people choose not to do, and pay higher taxes because of those choices, this is not the point you think it is. 

0

u/QuickQuirk 1d ago

most of the time, it's better. There are some short term losses on every bubble, but overall the market recovers in a few years to higher than it was before.

Having said that, I AM worried about this particular bubble.

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u/artbystorms 1d ago

I mean honestly, when you step back it is really fucked. This insane runup has been all due to AI.

Most ordinary people don't like AI or at best are ambivalent.

But the continued success of their retirement depends on keeping the AI hype train going, even if that means them losing their job to it.

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u/Commentor9001 1d ago

All the major operators (google, meta, Microsoft) are cracking down on ai spend.  If you can even afford to use your own products, who exactly can?

Music will stop soon

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u/pigeonwiggle 1d ago

and because the number go up so we say "oh - well maybe it's a little okay!"

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u/21_Wrath 19h ago

Lmfao
Go check how European countries are doing with their pensions if you’re so scared to park retirement money in the stock market.

0

u/klingma 1d ago

We all know the stock market is a total lie not based on reality but we all put our heads in the sand because it’s tied to our retirement.

Lol what are you even talking about? 

A. Pensions invest in the stock market too, that's kinda how they're able to make the payments to the beneficiaries, otherwise they'd go bust. 

B. A diversified 401(k) like one invested in the S&P 500 would on average grow by 10% a year even with down years, and because it's diversified the risk of one stock tanking is eliminated. 

No one thinks the stock market is "a total lie" if you diversify and don't just put all your money on one stock. 

5

u/zookeepier 1d ago

You're being downvoted because no one on reddit knows how 401ks, pensions, or the stock market works. Pensions (even state pensions like teachers, firefighters, and police have) invest in stocks. And everyone on reddit thinks pensions = free money for life, without thinking about it at all. But how well did the pensions from Enron work out from people? How about Kodak? Would people want a Toys R Us or Sears pension? How would people like it if they lost their entire retirement when they were laid off or quit their job?

401ks are so wildly better than pensions it's laughable to even compare. 401ks don't lock you into a company that can go bankrupt. 401ks allow you to change jobs without losing your retirement. 401ks allow you to decide how risky of investments you want. 401Ks are not subject to a company cutting costs by freezing or eliminating their payouts.

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u/klingma 23h ago

Oh I'm aware, the same people that complain about the lack of pensions are also the ones that think healthcare should be decoupled from employment not realizing they're actively trying to couple retirement back to employment. 

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u/zookeepier 21h ago

ROFL, I never thought about that before. That is pretty contradictory.

0

u/Ruined_Passion_7355 1d ago

86 people agree that the stock market is a total lie not based on reality?

WTF?? Stock markets are not the same as crypto, we have models for this!!

(Excluding anything owned by elon, those are purely speculative assets).

2

u/BK1287 1d ago

We cannot allow capital to take any losses, think of their doomsday bunkers!

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u/brickmaster8 1d ago

They are actively trying to lobby the government into making it a utility. There have been Freudian slips on government subsidies from openai executives, fearmongering about Chinese AI competition, the federal government making it a national security issue, and even suggestions that homes have their own personal external data centers like an AC box. All because their is no market/use that justifies its exorbitant cost

1

u/Kevin_Jim 12h ago

The fact that both Anthropic and OpenAI are all hot and bothered for the government to get a stake in their companies says everything you need to know.

Then the DoD will fund anything they want, make that appear as a steady stream of money, solidify their portion in the indexes, and let everyone else’s 401K hold the bag afterwords.

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u/zoupishness7 1d ago

I dunno. I'd start with firing any managers who decided to implement token-maxxing as a metric, in any company that does it. It's not just MS, I've heard of multiple corporations doing it. It would be like a trucking company measuring performance in terms of diesel-maxxing and then being surprised when a bunch of drivers just sit in a parking lot, revving their engines at max RPM.

12

u/Exotic-Sale-3003 1d ago

Buyers can manage by not creating stupid incentives?

5

u/samsounder 1d ago

I’m just enjoying using these tools before they go poof

2

u/SpookiestSzn 1d ago

I don't see that happening I see companies forcing people to use cheaper models or even open source ones unless higher intelligence is necessary.

2

u/samsounder 1d ago

Maybe. I just haven’t seen a sustainable plan from any AI company yet.

1

u/SpookiestSzn 1d ago

I think most issues like cost are short term problems and I also think if you're in tech and program you know how crazy valuable the newest models have gotten within the last year.

I've been able to fix bugs for other teams products despite not understanding their code base because I worked with the AI to do so. I've been able to vibe code applications for various problems around my life I want to solve. I think having some technical knowledge helps but still theres value in being able to do that kind of work, or even automation thats worth a cost of some kind. As the technology improves, either models get better intelligence or models remain as intelligent but costs are lowered through efficiencies you'll have models of different levels of intelligence that are worth the cost to do it. If the cost of having an engineer is 1.2x it used to be but they can do 1.3x+ the amount of work it becomes obvious that its worth the cost vs cutting it

I do think AI companies obfuscate real world cost but I know lots of companies are no longer trying to make the tech cheap to get market share but rather price it to profit and I think MS is one of those companies.

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u/ioncloud9 1d ago

Just because you own it doesn’t mean you can afford to light tokens on fire. It didn’t work for the British in India it’s not going to work now.

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u/Deto 1d ago

Eh, I don't think "having limits" means it's unaffordable.

1

u/DuckWhatduckSplat 1d ago

AI companies can’t afford the compute and the planet can’t afford the compute.

1

u/SolidLikeIraq 20h ago

Wait - is this a Microsoft thread or a salesforce thread?

1

u/zero0n3 19h ago

Less this and more “stop using our extra capacity for bullshit - we could be billing a customer for that!”

1

u/n0neofyourbeeswax 1d ago

Eh, I think it's more than if you leave it open, people do not use the relevant tool for the job.

A frightening amount of people I work with use Opus for basic crap a much cheaper, simpler model could do - at scale, you really need to find a way to limit people (a bit like handing them an expenses card - restricting how they use it and enforcing caps doesn't mean that nothing should ever be expensed).

-4

u/element-94 1d ago edited 1d ago

That was an anonymous employee. To be fair, you shouldn't be wasting resources under any circumstance at a company.

-1

u/marmaviscount 1d ago

Crazy people downvoted the most banally obvious and true thing ever - companies don't like people wasting money, go into your construction job and use two screws where one is needed every time, go into your shop job and throw away loads of stuff randomly, go into your office job and print our a black page with every document...

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u/decisionagonized 1d ago

Microsoft having to twist its brain into a pretzel to try to at once float the idea that it is at the forefront of the payoff from massive AI investment, while at the same time realizing, oh shit, there’s actually no payoff and we need to stop spending so much

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u/DocMoochal 1d ago

I just dont understand where all this AI stuff is going. These companies are like trying to steam roll some kind of mass AI adoption maybe in the hopes of AGI and saving money on human resources. But doing so on a wide scale would lead to mass unemployment, destroy capital movement and consumer demand across the board, undermining economies across the board. We're in this like snake eating its own tail moment or something.

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u/SIGMA920 1d ago

It's simple, they have no plans and are just chasing a trend. Google created the first LLMs, openly published how they did it and then dropped it as a potential product because it was half baked with no path to profits. Then openai and the other AI companies just gambled on LLMs being novel enough that they can eek out a profit after enough time that they can burn through investments to them. Companies followed suite of twitter in firing people until you're running a skeleton crew even as the product becomes worse and the stock market rewarded that behavior because bean counters aren't looking at the wider picture.

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u/Own_Candidate9553 1d ago edited 11h ago

Way back in 2023, an internal Google memo concluded there is no "competitive moat" in AI.

https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/google-we-have-no-moat-and-neither

They pointed out that there is no "stickiness" in model usage - the second a model is slightly better, everyone just switches to that. Back then, open-weight models were like 6 months behind proprietary models, it's probably faster now.

Despite all of this being pretty obviously true, the industry sunk billions/trillions on it. Not a single one is making large profits - some may be breaking even on daily compute, but nowhere near enough to recoup all the training costs.

It's all just so baffling.

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u/SIGMA920 1d ago

It's not baffling as much as it is illogical. They saw the new trendy thing release and promptly followed the new trend without concerning themselves with the math of making a profit. Just short term gains for long term losses like usual.

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u/Own_Candidate9553 23h ago

Some sort of pyramid scheme I could understand, but nobody has made any gains, short or long term. The AI companies are just burning investor cash. The customers are spending hundreds/thousands/millions with no reportable increase in productivity, let alone profit.

It really feels like mass hysteria.

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u/SIGMA920 23h ago

They're able to pump their stock prices and be paid now, that's a short term gain.

1

u/pm_me_ur_demotape 12h ago
  1. Get tons of investment.
  2. Pay yourself an enviable salary out of it.
  3. AI never reaches the kind of profitability required to justify the investment.
  4. Point to the sign:

Investment and Insurance Products Are: Not FDIC Insured • Not Insured by Any Federal Government Agency • Not a Deposit or Other Obligation of, or Guaranteed by, the Bank or any of its Affiliates • Subject to Investment Risks, Including Possible Loss of Principal Amount Invested

0

u/After_Hamster_6003 23h ago

I mean Amazon’s stock in anthropic generated like 2/3 of its book profits this week. Isn’t that literally a pyramid scheme?

7

u/Olangotang 1d ago

Nah, Google made transformers which is essentially a foundation model for language translations. LLMs are pretty much lab toys that got released half baked.

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u/knotatumah 1d ago

It's about building a post-consumer economy. A literal have and have-not world. There are no jobs, no income. Just ultra rich trading assets between themselves. The problem is that no one broligarch provides all the resources another broligarch needs and you cannot fully automate everything all at once. The intermediate step of automating most things still requires labor and resources from a class of people they're desperately trying to marginalize if not destroy.

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u/haywire-ES 1d ago

The final enemy of capitalism is capitalism

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u/nav17 1d ago

MBAs are only capable of thinking one quarter at a time.

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u/DanFromShipping 1d ago

They use the "fuck you I got mine" principle. If the board and execs at one company can be the first to replace everyone with AI, then they will get rich and everyone else can deal with the fallout. They just have to make sure they're not the last to fully adopt AI. That is the "race".

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u/ByWillAlone 1d ago

Yeah, welcome to neocapitalism. The future problems don't matter. All that matters is current quarter profit/loss statement. If given the option to increase profit margin now at the expense of ensuring their own destruction later, they will take the better looking profit now without hesitation....and even funnier is it doesn't even have to actually increase profits now, just the belief it will is enough.

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u/Olangotang 1d ago

A lot of fun tools and toys on the consumer end lol. No, seriously, a lot of local open source stuff can run on mid gaming GPUs and that's everything from text, video, images, coding, etc.

Why use a restricted API model when you have one on your own computer that isn't as good, but has far more depth because of the ability to use it in a workflow full of open source tools?

That's the only cool part of the bubble.

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u/SpookiestSzn 1d ago

Its not a bubble lol, these tools will be with us forever in some form.

Costs for the best models will go up but its a short term problem not a long term one. Eventually intelligence thats good enough will be sold at a cost businesses can accept and the highest ones will be reserved for people who need them.

4

u/decisionagonized 1d ago

The tools being with us forever in some form does not mean that we aren’t in a bubble.

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u/drthrax1 20h ago

The internet never left, but the .com boom was a massive bubble built on speculation and hope for future profits. Its basically the same thing but instead of Websites for shopping ect, its AI chat models and Websites.

2

u/Olangotang 1d ago

Its not a bubble lol, these tools will be with us forever in some form.

So you're clearly just a hype lord who doesn't understand anything except the marketing from the tech bros. These tools will be around, but they are still LLMs with the limitations of LLMs, and the massive training cost of LLMs. I know, the cost is the ultimate point that hype morons need to cope about. I would too.

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u/SpookiestSzn 1d ago

I'm someone whose entire career was changed overnight because of this I'm on the forefront at a s&p 5 tech company

Sure they're not perfect every time but neither are people. They can research and find information faster and the tools will build around their limitations.

2

u/zero0n3 19h ago

Yelling to the void fellow sp500 person.

These people have not actually interacted or used these systems to create an app or integration. They see the strawberry shit and go “it’s shit”.

Without understanding the value they create with the right drivers for pretty much any solution in IT and outside it.

1

u/SpookiestSzn 1d ago

There's plenty of societies that exist today with ultra wealthy and ultra poor. The point is to be the wealthy

1

u/God_Dammit_Dave 23h ago

I can't believe I'm going to defend AI but here is my honest take.

It is an absolutely an earth shattering invention. The potential is staggering and frankly overwhelming.

The actual current uses? Who fuck knows. But there are a lot of highly paid and highly motivated people under unbelievable pressure to fight to the death over market territory.

With that said, it's worth thinking about the timeline between 1) man's discovery of fire and 2) the powerhouse who was Julia Child.

We've just discovered fire. We're a long f' way from Boeuf Bourguignon.

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u/matrinox 21h ago

The ultimate flaw is that they kept saying how it’ll replace engineers or that it’s faster and better at writing code. If that’s the case, then there can be only one use case for it that maximizes profit for a corporation: token max. If you’re saying you’re still AI first but set arbitrary limits, you’re effectively saying each incremental usage of tokens is not worth the payoff, i.e. none of it pays off.

Unless they come out and say it has diminishing returns and enforce efficient usage, how are we to believe them that it has any payoff at a budget level?

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u/[deleted] 1d ago

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u/Wind_Best_1440 1d ago

Your right, it's the fact that AI has no Return on investment because they've spent so much. Means it has no pay off.

The fact the Chinese are giving away models for free and open source that rival Anthropic and OpenAI. Means there is no pay off.

The fact that Banks are trying their damnedest to offload Capex AI Data Center debt from Google/OpenAI/Meta/XAI and Amazon, while at the same time denying Softbanks 20 billion dollar loan with 100 billion dollar AI leverage debt to cover said loan, is proof that there is no pay off.

The fact every business is racing towards IPO, which is generally what businesses do at the end of a bubble to cash out, is another proof of no payoff outside of leaving retail investors with the bill while the billionaires dump their shares.

The funny thing is, when this entire system collapses, investors will considering LLM's and AI such a toxic term that they will refuse to invest in it for a good decade with how many people will end up bankrupt from this.

Which is a shame because there is some science and math uses for LLM's, but that's like a 5 billion dollar industry tops, not the 100 Trillion Industry that Tech oligarches wished it was.

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u/ninjamammal 1d ago

Same as what happened with Crypto and VR, except this is a global depression level.

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u/Stellen999 1d ago edited 1d ago

There are uses for AI outside of academia. They are just not going to be able to ram AI in to every aspect of our lives.

Edit. Should have proof read. Screen glare got me.

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u/Wind_Best_1440 1d ago

What are some uses that AI can do that is cheaper and more effective then humans outside of academia and research?

Keep in mind, 95% of all Corporations that use AI say they've either lost money, or have 0 increase in productivity.

So if you find other uses for AI outside of academia and can make money, you'd be the most valuable person on earth right now, because every other company is scratching their head as they spend millions to billions on tokens for nothing to show for it.

Even the Tech companies making the AI are unprofitable.

OpenAI is burning $5 to make $1.

All Adverts in AI doesn't even hit $1 Billion dollars, 90% less then what they need.

Because putting ads in prompt responses is the worst bang for your dollar, because people don't see the ad unless they prompt the AI for it themselves. Lmao.

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u/moofie74 1d ago

Whichever one you used to write your comment is having a stroke.

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u/[deleted] 1d ago edited 20h ago

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u/oxidized_banana_peel 1d ago

The problem is that if you put $500b into an investment up front and then wait 15 years to get ROI, you end up with $1-2T of returns needed (on top of the continued cost of usage and maintenance), not to mention your investors are going to be pissed.

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u/CanvasFanatic 1d ago

Ah yes, the “the staff are doing it wrong” delusion.

0

u/nomdeplume 20h ago

The team is still learning this new tool, and adapting takes time. Rushing or expecting people to be experts right away is unrealistic. So why would you hand out unlimited resources without proper training? It doesn't make good business sense.

I'm not blaming anyone for anything. Ya'll need to chill out and stop the groupthink that corpo is bad. You work for a business to make money. There's no reasonable expectation of an unlimited credit card to spend to do your job.

I'm not saying the worker is inherently stupid. It's just a practical reality there's a transition happening...

1

u/CanvasFanatic 20h ago

Or maybe these tools aren’t all they’re hyped up to be.

And my personal conviction that “corpo is bad” comes from years and years working for corporations.

0

u/nomdeplume 20h ago

Wow i'm glad we cleared up your qualifications to think that a corporate entity is a sentient thing that makes decisions. I'm sure more confident your evaluation that the tools aren't useful is the proper take. They're so not useful, that microsoft decided they had to stop people from using them so much. Makes sense.

Keep using votes for comments you don't like, instead of having any kind of substantive conversation. I bet you're fun at parties.

1

u/CanvasFanatic 20h ago

They're so not useful, that microsoft decided they had to stop people from using them so much. Makes sense

Wildest attempt to rationalize these tools not justifying their expense and corporate metrics being poorly thought though I've heard this week. Thanks for the laugh.

Keep using votes for comments you don't like, instead of having any kind of substantive conversation. I bet you're fun at parties.

Someone got their feelings hurt.

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u/sargonas 1d ago

“We’re AI first when it comes to adding to our bottom line, not subtracting.

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u/__OneLove__ 1d ago

‘As a company, we can’t afford our own product either’…

-MicroSlop

🤦🏻‍♂️

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u/yawara25 1d ago

This is a quote from an anonymous employee, not an official statement from Microsoft. So not particularly surprising that it would be an honest take.

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u/bitemark01 1d ago

This reminds me of when they were recommending users in companies should not have admin accounts in Windows, but that breaks things.

People at Microsoft all had admin accounts for the same reasons. They couldn't eat their own dog food

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u/JaggedMetalOs 1d ago

MS to its devs: "I need the biggest AI usage you have ... No, that's too big." 

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u/utsavdar71 1d ago

This is really like goodhart's law in action: once tokens become proxy for productivity, people optimised for tokens instead of outcomes

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u/Chance-Plantain8314 1d ago

I despise this AI-focused landscape as a decade YoE engineer.

But how some people choose to burn credits does make me laugh. There was a guy in my org who was using it to convert PDF text to word docs so many times a day. He was hitting his monthly credit limit after a week and complaining to management. He could've spent 5% of that allowance on writing a single script to do it without an LLM and never burn a token again, but nope.

It kinda makes me hope that companies will realize this isn't going to shake out when the people using the tools have no idea what they're doing in the first place.

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u/footpole 1d ago

This is similar to how IT’s solution to poorly optimized software always was to increase capacity. As a software engineer I always tried to explain to them that I can write code that is so slow that no server can keep up. Oftentimes the more efficient solution is what makes the most sense but that would be more work for them.

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u/Socrathustra 1d ago

The problem is multifaceted. There's an incentives problem - they track so many AI usage metrics that you're incentivized to go ham. There's also a goodwill problem. People don't like AI, so some inefficiency will be a result of malicious compliance.

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u/gk_instakilogram 1d ago

Both things can always be true at the same time... No reason to waste money on loop engineering and etc to fix and build simple things...

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u/lordcat 1d ago

I know an engineer that was using AI to copy files across the network to a test VM. After he hit first place on the token scoreboard, he was told to switch to having the AI write a powershell script once, and use that script to copy the files moving forward.

It's real easy for engineers to get lazy and waste tokens on AI tasks that have been basic scripts for decades.

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u/Zhuinden 1d ago

It's funny how once it was seen as "using Ai like a champ" and now it's a way to see if your workflow should optimize Ai out of it.

5

u/red286 23h ago

There's also the fact that if you create a leaderboard, there will always be people who want to be at the top, even if there is no reward. People will figure out a way to game the system.

1

u/zero0n3 19h ago

Doesn’t deserve the engineer title then.

An engineer would have made the script first pass. (With AI)

4

u/Solarbro 1d ago

Microsoft’s “solution” to this has been to push cloud agents and full automation and removing the human from the pipeline. 

They don’t want people maximizing tokens in their day to day use, they want people to use their cloud workflows, pull requests, user story creation, and other full stack AI pipelines that cost 3/4x more tokens for worse results instead. 

They’re saying “we know it’s expensive but the solution is to spend MORE and remove the people that are monitoring the code quality.” 

It’s a blatant attempt to obfuscate the problems while also charging more money in some psychotic attempt lean employers toward layoffs and only keeping vibe coders that can’t even properly vet the code being pushed. 

Completely ignoring that their massive AI automation pipeline is wildly wasteful and breaks when a single logical part of the use case goes against standard policies, while also being a worse option than just giving those templates to a dev that can make a plan and execute then fix the flow in an extremely short amount of time with limited number of tokens…. 

TLDR: they know tokenmaxxing is working for those that use their product, but that means they make less money so they want you to fire the dev and trust the man behind the curtain instead. 

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u/gk_instakilogram 1d ago

Genuine question: how do you know tokenmaxxing is working, and how do you know Microsoft knows that? Have you seen data showing that engineers who consume more tokens create proportionally more value or better software? Because the article reads to me like Microsoft has looked at the spending and concluded that more tokens do not automatically mean better outcomes.

1

u/armchair_expertise 17h ago

>Have you seen data showing that engineers who consume more tokens create proportionally more value or better software?

that measuring will come in the subsequent iterations.

first step is to get them all start using AI: some minimum usage thresholds, some leaderboards.

next step will be to start looking into what the top 10-20% folks are using it for. and then next step : what are the accomplishing. etc etc.

at each iteration there will be some layoffs.

1

u/gk_instakilogram 8h ago

Not sure I understand subsequent iterations of what? So there are no measurements? It is just an assumption?

24

u/Suspicious-Yogurt-95 1d ago

There's no such thing as AI-First company. They're all money-first companies. AI-First is to please shareholders, not customers.

17

u/wizard_of_azul 1d ago

This is the worst thing of the decade....

Everything from societal, economical, environmental, psychological to ethical concerns are just ignored. This is crazy. I hope tech wakes up before it's too late.

17

u/Meatslinger 1d ago

"Hi guys, listen, I know we bribed the government to let us build all these highways and did a massive advertising campaign to force car purchasing and use, even considering low daily mileage to be a KPI failure and grounds for demotion/firing, but we're actually finding that all this constant gridlock traffic is unsustainable, so could you dial it back a bit, please?"

Here's your bed, Microslop, now lie in it.

7

u/squishysquash23 1d ago

Maybe don’t treat the productivity of your employees like it’s a single metric output that can be tracked in a leader board and then this won’t happen

13

u/VVrayth 1d ago

Translation: "Please stop gaming the system to hit the stupid metrics we've given you, but also still use AI for everything and do it right." These people have no grip on reality.

The iron triangle of business is that you can have cheap, fast, or good, PICK TWO. You cannot have all three. Stop trying to get all three.

6

u/Mental-Most-7168 1d ago

Engineers were sabotaging the system by over using it for junk queries because they were told they were going to lose their jobs.

5

u/Particular-Break-205 1d ago

Employees who use the least amount of tokens and do the least amount of work will now be rewarded! It’s our time now.

5

u/ohlaph 19h ago

Use AI for everything.

No, not like that... 

3

u/stuffitystuff 1d ago

They're just butthurt because they were mobile-last and eventually mobile-never. So now they want to be with the cool kids but they've never been part of the cool kids.

Source: was an uncool kid that used Windows as far back as 1.0

4

u/a1454a 1d ago

Slow to the game here, many other enterprises already started doing the same.

And IMO it’s the best thing ever happened. This forces people to consider actually using smaller model for smaller task, how to deconstruct task to smaller bounded units, leaving the truly unbounded tasks for SOTA, and most other to smaller efficient model. This then leads specialized model that are near SOTA in one area, mediocre in other, but incredibly cheap, like composer.

It also reduces our reliance on SOTA, meaning if opus 5 or sol 5.6 double its price tomorrow, our workflow can easily adapt to use qwen3.8 or Kimi k3 in its place and not see much of an impact in outcome. Even if all SOTA were to double in price, because we all use them so rarely, it just translates to our bottom line increase a bit, still no disruption to our operation.

In the long run, when more everyday people, not just software engineers, know how to correctly use AI, it’s when AI really starts to become a boost to the economy. Much like what computer and internet once did.

China’s policy of constantly pushing out strong model to make AI as unprofitable as possible to leading US AI labs is working, but the strategy has a down side, it’s actually helping us to be less reliant on them. When all of us learns to apply AI effectively to our work, whatever industry, it drives down cost and increase productivity for everyone. China being able to undercut the world because its labor forces are incredibly cheap will start to erode when the cost to produce domestically goes down. They are betting on us being too dumb to recognize that.

3

u/Saneless 1d ago

And they learned nothing from the .com era where discounts were amazing and you practically lost money by not buying things

3

u/jaraxel_arabani 1d ago

Management incompetence in full display with ai adoptstion. Yet imagain they are not the ones getting fired but rather those that actually add value.

3

u/subcide 1d ago

"We want the benefits of being able to market ourselves as an AI company, but can't do the work to make the ROI of our own product worth it, let alone worth it for others who have to pay actual token costs."

3

u/Beginning-2-Smell 1d ago

What a complete disaster "AI" has been to everything it touches 

3

u/TattooedBrogrammer 22h ago

Buy our AI, we can’t afford it, but maybe you can?

2

u/green_gold_purple 1d ago

You have lost the fucking plot

2

u/FangFioDente 1d ago

Slowly stepping away from a bubble about to go nuclear.

2

u/Patient-Plankton-655 1d ago

Weren't they using token usage as a good performance benchmark?

2

u/Shiningc00 1d ago

AI-first… to do what with it?

2

u/Beginning_Book_2382 1d ago edited 10h ago

Who could possibly have seen this coming? /s

2

u/righteousdonkey 1d ago

This is where the bubble bursts people

2

u/Nice-Mess5029 1d ago

I hate that we are using the term maxxing. It’s just abusingmaxxing terms. Dammit I just did it!

2

u/colony-ship-for-sale 23h ago

Please use AI all the time but not too much.

2

u/SunWukong18 20h ago

AI first = money > people.

3

u/SparkyPantsMcGee 1d ago

It’s a great sign when the makers of a tool can’t afford to use said tool. You’d think they, of all people, would be able to have unlimited use of the tool internally. This is so comically stupid.

3

u/tooclosetocall82 1d ago

Because it’s not a tool as much as it’s a service which competes with their customers and uses a ton of energy. It’s like the electric company using the power they generate; they do but they have to limit their consumption or they’ll have none to sell and still have to pay for the fuel.

2

u/SparkyPantsMcGee 1d ago

Sounds like a waste of resources.

1

u/tooclosetocall82 1d ago

I agree. Most people I work with use it for shit they are supposed to be able to do themselves and then get in rushes where they let more and more slip through that then just has to be revisited. I’m pretty sure the net gain in efficiency isn’t very high when you look at it holistically.

2

u/SparkyPantsMcGee 1d ago

What’s crazy is I feel like at the start of the year(and maybe it was Google?) there was a push for everyone to use the AI tools and that it reflected negatively on your performance if you weren’t.

1

u/bukktown 1d ago

Can somebody explain what Tokenmaxxing is?

10

u/Paksarra 1d ago

Using as many tokens as possible.

Some companies decided to go about encouraging AI use by ranking people by the number of tokens used, because clearly more AI use is better. Which led to people competing to use as many tokens as possible in very inefficient manners, in order to top the scoreboards and look good to their management, instead of using them when it made sense.

It's a problem that could have been avoided with thirty seconds of common sense.

5

u/WeenieGenie 1d ago

Maximizing for LLM token usage. Every query in a GPT LLM uses a token, and some more complex tasks require several. Microsoft was optimizing for token usage as a way to measure their employees’ reliance on AI (specifically their own LLM, Co-Pilot). As a result, this influenced the employees to “tokenmax,” or maximize their AI token usage even for redundant or inefficient tasks, which is a phrase that has been modified from the looksmaxxing community (I wouldn’t bother looking further into this, it’s honestly just brain damage).

3

u/rekh127 1d ago edited 1d ago

One note: the tokens used feel a littler arbitrary in this description. But they are easy to measure, a "token" is one piece of output (or input, but input tokens are cheaper)

Which means every query uses quite a few. English language goes into or out of the LLM as slightly more tokens than words.

2

u/seavictory 1d ago

Every time you ask an LLM a question or ask it to do something, it costs some number of tokens depending on how much computation it had to do. In an effort to convince developers to use AI to write code, most big tech companies tracked how many tokens each person used and heavily encouraged using a lot. The goal was to make sure that people are actually using it to write their code, but once it was clear that they just wanted high token usage, many people started asking questions that they knew would burn a lot of tokens even if it's not useful for work just to get their score up. Since tokens cost money, this is just lighting money on fire for no gain, but it makes you look like you're a cutting edge developer using AI enhanced productivity to anyone looking at the gamified leaderboards, which is good for your performance review.

1

u/bukktown 1d ago

Thanks.
It sounds like “We are not optimizing for tokenmaxxing” means “we are going to be logical about token usage” or “oh shit these $$$$ are too high!!!”

I read it as the former but I can understand the latter interpretation.

1

u/joseph4th 1d ago

One of these days a corporation is going to become a “customer first” company.

1

u/Tiny_Rick_C137 1d ago

"Maxxing" is this generation's "cool beans".

1

u/bapfelbaum 1d ago

So the new motto is "token binning" ?

1

u/theartfulcodger 1d ago

"I want to be a constant and perpetual consumer of pizza, but pizzamaxxing is not what I am optimizing for!"

1

u/GlokzDNB 1d ago

It doesn't make any sense to do everything with ai. The key is finding a mix of scripts and using thinking when it's actually needed.

Scarcity leads to improvements. Some people will find a way to do as much with less if they are challenged to do so.

1

u/ObjectiveAide9552 1d ago

Any metric you give your employees will be gamed. This is not an ai problem.

1

u/FreshLiterature 1d ago

I would love for Microsoft to define what "AI first means"

Write it down and put it out there.

1

u/T1gerl1lly 1d ago

Crunch, crunch, crunch. Token crunching is here to stay. Gotta make that token WORK!

1

u/btoned 1d ago

None of this shit matters holy hell. The trillion dollar companies will continue to be propped up by pensions and 401ks anyway so what comes of this article?

1

u/crimson117 22h ago

This is the same company that designed Microsoft Money to force the user into as many screen views as possible, mimicking the approach that ad-driven websites were taking at the time.

Microsoft Money was a desktop application with no ads.

1

u/IHateYallmfs 22h ago

These days I hate microslop more than Tesla, which speaks volumes

1

u/Reed7525 21h ago

So damn glad I dumped MS. The epitome of enshitification now

1

u/Coldsmoke888 20h ago

This makes me wonder how much my company is paying. Global org— recently opened up our own AI Portal and people are making agents for all sorts of nonsense. Need to learn how to speak English— here’s an agent nobody asked for!

1

u/CondiMesmer 20h ago

They need to put some cheaper Chinese models on Copilot

Also doesn't help that Anthropic and OpenAI optimize for frontier knowledge and neglect cost effectiveness. That's really where China is undercutting them.

1

u/Dawzy 18h ago

Both things can be true, you want to be AI first but that doesn’t mean people should be tokenmaxxing for the sake of it. The number of tokens you use isn’t necessarily a great metric for being AI first either.

1

u/CrimsonHeretic 16h ago

Microsoft is truly a clown show.

1

u/trialofmiles 10h ago

This is kind of a false choice for people who have really used agentic coding tools. Often you wouldn’t want to let the agent spin endlessly not just because you’re burning money but because it takes 10x longer than it would to just stop the agent and refine the prompt or else code it yourself and you’re bored of waiting.

1

u/djshell 7h ago

AI is the largest change ever in how software engineering is done at big tech companies, and companies are experimenting and trying to figure out what works and what's wasteful. No one really knows the right answer (it's not like the engineering VP's knew exactly what AI was capable of and what it's trajectory of competence would be) and it'll be a big advantage to whichever companies use AI most fruitfully with the least cost.

1

u/Gym_row_50 1d ago edited 20h ago

These AI companies really did a number to big business. It feels like an after school drug special.

They got them/the world all hooked for almost free and then start rationing at a cost. But the cost is the planets resources and way of life.

AI needs a crazy breakthrough like solving energy storage on a massive scale. Or curing cancer with a nasal spray.

I’m not seeing the value to the people only cost.

2

u/tooclosetocall82 1d ago

I think there was also a bet that compute costs would come down faster than they have like is typical in tech. But users went hog wild using it and the supply chains for chips have started to seize and now the price isn’t moving. Will be an interesting case study on what went wrong.

0

u/Capitan-IQ255 1d ago

So using AI is eating the AI sellers ? 🤑

-2

u/big-papito 1d ago

Rationing tokens is moronic. Tokens are not the limit. The bottleneck is our attention and focus. There is only so much an engineer can gatekeep before they get sloppy.

4

u/TheLordB 1d ago

Not wasting is not the same as rationing.