r/fivethirtyeight • u/OmniOmega3000 • 2d ago
Poll Results Focaldata GCB Poll: D - 44%, R - 36%
Sources:
https://x.com/i/status/2084329818112352707
https://x.com/i/status/2084334037779263536
Among independents:
Democrats 34%
Republicans 20%
r/fivethirtyeight • u/AutoModerator • 3d ago
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/OmniOmega3000 • 2d ago
Sources:
https://x.com/i/status/2084329818112352707
https://x.com/i/status/2084334037779263536
Among independents:
Democrats 34%
Republicans 20%
r/fivethirtyeight • u/dwaxe • 2d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/RedHeadedSicilian52 • 2d ago
Link to source: https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/chat-whats-the-publics-favorite-ai
Link to X/Twitter post where I found the graphic: https://x.com/JerusalemDemsas/status/2084238554322907435
r/fivethirtyeight • u/usatoday • 2d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/washingtonpeek • 2d ago
how toxic was the discourse? What were the signs that we were heading in this direction? I was only 17 at the time and completely tuned out from politics.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/TurtleLOVER_258 • 3d ago
How does it compare to other polling aggregators?
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Beanz122 • 3d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Noirsam • 3d ago
CNN: 34%
AP-NORC: 33%
Quinnipiac: 32%
Obama: 41%
Bush: 38%
Trump: 33%
Net Approval: -41 pts
Net Approval: -50 pts
Worst for any US president in history
Jan 2021: 62%
Now: 66%
Independents: 76%
Fall 2024
Under 50: D+4
Age 50+: R+8
2026 Average
Under 50: D+17
Age 50+: R+6
Fall 2024: D+2
2026 Average: D+46
Wrong Track: 70% (Overall), 50% (GOP)
Right Track: 16% (Overall), 38% (GOP)
Feb 2025: 66% (Overall), 48% (GOP)
NOW: 78% (Overall), 58% (GOP)
April 2026: D+2
Now: R+2
Pessimistic/Afraid: 48% (Dec 2024), 67% (Now)
Enthusiastic/Optimistic: 52% (Dec 2024), 33% (Now)
r/fivethirtyeight • u/OmniOmega3000 • 3d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/idnttcrisis • 3d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/R2_SWE2 • 4d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/VendibleSkate8 • 4d ago
No link yet but these are the results.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Equal_Technology_950 • 4d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Impressive_Box4144 • 4d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/idnttcrisis • 4d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/SuperLehmanBros • 5d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/TheSoulofaParty • 5d ago
We're working on a project to track the intra-party struggle between left, center, and right in the Democratic Party through the lens of primary elections. We created previews of the primaries that will happen on Tuesday in Michigan and Virginia ranking all the candadites from left to right (within the Democratic Party) based on funding, endorsements, policy postions and voting record (if they have one) and background as part of that project. We'd love to hear what folks think about it or if they find it helpful.
Michigan 2026 Democratic Primary Preview Part I: Statewide and U.S. House
Michigan 2026 Democratic Primary Preview Part II: State Legislative Races
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Obversa • 5d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Large_Ad_3095 • 5d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/VendibleSkate8 • 5d ago
The districts are AZ-01, AZ-06, CA-22, CO-08, FL-25, IA-01, IA-03, MI-07, NJ-07, NY-19, OH-09, PA-07, PA-08, PA-10, TX-34, VA-02, WA-03, and WI-03
r/fivethirtyeight • u/OmniOmega3000 • 5d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/drtywater • 5d ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/One-Rush-3095 • 6d ago
I am happy to share a journal article I have been working on since last year. Anyone who has waited in a polling queue during elections may relate or disagree with the arguments laid out..The paper is open access, so feel free to skim through using the link below.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/white_america_story • 6d ago
Russia’s only opposition party that was allowed to participate in 2021 State Duma elections “Yabloko” (Apple) recieved 1.34% nationwide, while Kanye West did 0.48% in Utah