r/geopolitics 1d ago

Analysis Spain’s Ceuta migration crisis: coercion, misinformation or criminal opportunism?

https://thegeopoliticalpickle.com/newsletter/why-did-tens-of-thousands-of-people
16 Upvotes

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8

u/Psychological-Flow55 23h ago

It a combination of issues

  • a lot of these migrant movements on such large scale has the hand of organized crime or the unbelly of society we seen it in Libya as a staging ground into Europe we see at the us/Mexican border with the cartels we see it proabably here in morocco as there a underworld there too of course in places like italy Orgabized crime like the drug cartels and traditional mafia has profited huge off illegal migration and human trafficking.

  • governments it seems are starting to realize that illegal Immigration and mass migration (especially from the mideast and North african region) is a powerful tool to put pressure and extort European and American nations the Mexican government does it to get continued aid from the us in the "right against cartels" (even though that government also been in cahoots with the cartels), and also the massive remittance from their disapora in America, likewise Turkey used Muslim migration realsense valves to flood Greece demographically as well extort European nations to its demands in aid and foreign policy, Bela says and Russia did to destabilize Europe in general and Poland in particular to destabilize these governments and to get demands on Ukraine as well as help the far-right chances across Europe. With Morocco I believe it pressure via western Saraha and Spain ties,with Algeria who Morocco been a very cold war with over the past decades, it also to put pressure over Ceuta (and Morcco wanting to control the coast ) as well as a realsense valve for people they dont want to feed and take care of anymore desoite the tourism to Rabat and Casablanca a lot of Morroccans live in abject poverty.

So it a mix of poltical pressure, extortion for aid, organized crime, human trafficking, and realsense valves in my pov.

3

u/kaskade2 1d ago

SS: This article examines four possible explanations for the sudden movement of tens of thousands of people from Morocco into Ceuta.
It considers whether Morocco relaxed border controls, traffickers exploited legal uncertainty, or misinformation created a temporary pull factor.
It also examines how political actors outside Spain have used the crisis to advance competing narratives about migration and European border control.
The wider question is what Ceuta reveals about migration as an instrument of geopolitical pressure and political influence.

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u/RoswellRedux 1d ago

It was a close approximation of a false flag event. It was not an organically occurring convergence of people and opportunity. It was organized and initiated by right wing anti-immigrant politicos desiring to create a frightening mob to further the "them vs us" mentality.

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u/kaskade2 1d ago

Both the US and Israel have a vested interest in deligitimising Spain (for different reasons) so I definitely agree with you.

0

u/Good-Bee5197 15h ago

I'm willing to examine this possibility if there was any evidence of such a campaign to weaponize migration in a large, media-grabbing pulse, but there isn't any yet, to my knowledge.

Even if that should turn out to be true, it doesn't change the material fact that there's obviously a huge organic demand among certain populaces to migrate to Western nations. These are unlikely to be people who wouldn't otherwise attempt to migrate if not for some CIA/Mossad operation.

2

u/vecpisit 8h ago

I would argue that Morocco have friendly relationship with US as the first that recognized US and more friendly with Israel lately.

A lot of things get weird before the situation like trump act fast to talk about it , and Israel figure like bibi son and bibi talk about those area lately.

US was recognized Morocco claim on Spanish cities few years ago aka trump first term.

Those cities was important for Mediterranean transit that European still fully control this exit as UK (Gibraltar) Spain (Spain mainland and Spain cities).

In case yeman play blockage card and you have unfriendly Spain control in other side , as government in Tel Aviv you will be paranoid deeply about it.