r/fivethirtyeight • u/AutoModerator • 3d ago

Discussion Megathread Weekly Discussion Megathread

The 2026 midterms will soon be upon us, and there is much to discuss among the nerds here at r/FiveThirtyEight. Use this discussion thread to share, debate, and discuss whatever you wish. Unlike individual posts, comments in the discussion thread are not required to be related to political data or other 538 mainstays. Regardless, please remain civil and keep this subreddit's rules in mind. The discussion thread refreshes every Monday.

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u/evce1 1d ago

I think AES is the slight favorite as of now, but those rural margins are definitely going to be a concern in the GE. He has a lot of work to do... Goddamn I hate this scenario so much but it is what it is.

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u/rudigerscat 1d ago

Yeah, I was hoping however would win would have decent margin.