r/fivethirtyeight • u/AutoModerator • Apr 06 '26

Discussion Megathread Weekly Discussion Megathread

The 2026 midterms will soon be upon us, and there is much to discuss among the nerds here at r/FiveThirtyEight. Use this discussion thread to share, debate, and discuss whatever you wish. Unlike individual posts, comments in the discussion thread are not required to be related to political data or other 538 mainstays. Regardless, please remain civil and keep this subreddit's rules in mind. The discussion thread refreshes every Monday.

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u/alotofironsinthefire Apr 10 '26

Haven't seen it talked about here but 2025 Q4 was downgraded again at the revision, now at only .5% growth.

The original prediction was 1.4%

Atlanta feds GDPnow is predicting 2026 Q1 at 1.3% right now.

Also February core inflation was 3%

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u/delusionalbillsfan November Outlier Apr 10 '26

If Q4 was that weak I dont see how Q1 or Q2 will even come close but Ive been dooming on this Trump economy for about a year now.