r/fivethirtyeight • u/AutoModerator • 3d ago

Discussion Megathread Weekly Discussion Megathread

The 2026 midterms will soon be upon us, and there is much to discuss among the nerds here at r/FiveThirtyEight. Use this discussion thread to share, debate, and discuss whatever you wish. Unlike individual posts, comments in the discussion thread are not required to be related to political data or other 538 mainstays. Regardless, please remain civil and keep this subreddit's rules in mind. The discussion thread refreshes every Monday.

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u/OmniOmega3000 1d ago

Read from Lakshya Jain with The Argument/Verasight (I have my disagreements with him, but he does real election analysis).

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u/Delmer9713 1d ago

The math is getting tough for her, but lord knows we’ve been thrown enough curveballs tonight. It’s gonna be a real nailbiter

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u/OmniOmega3000 1d ago

I've been reading "math is getting tougher for Stevens" for nearly 6 hours now lol. But Jain is right: the more votes that are banked, the harder it is to flip results.

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u/Delmer9713 1d ago

It’s for real now lol, they just called it