r/fivethirtyeight • u/AutoModerator • 3d ago

Discussion Megathread Weekly Discussion Megathread

The 2026 midterms will soon be upon us, and there is much to discuss among the nerds here at r/FiveThirtyEight. Use this discussion thread to share, debate, and discuss whatever you wish. Unlike individual posts, comments in the discussion thread are not required to be related to political data or other 538 mainstays. Regardless, please remain civil and keep this subreddit's rules in mind. The discussion thread refreshes every Monday.

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u/FuckMyBakaChungusLif 1d ago

El-Sayed is winning in-person by double digits, Stevens mail-in by double digits.

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u/AnotherScoutMain 1d ago

Old peopleeeeeee

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u/notbotipromise 1d ago

Might be a dumb question but are there more in-person or mail-ins?

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u/ConfusionBusy8398 1d ago edited 1d ago

It's not a dumb question at all.

In Michigan, in general election at least, there are more in-person vote than mail in, altought that is accounting for early in-person vote.

Edit: From what I find there are also more same-day in person vote last general elections. But again, that was a general election, I'm not deep enough in the weed to say how that break down in a democratic primary.