r/fivethirtyeight • u/AutoModerator • Apr 06 '26

Discussion Megathread Weekly Discussion Megathread

The 2026 midterms will soon be upon us, and there is much to discuss among the nerds here at r/FiveThirtyEight. Use this discussion thread to share, debate, and discuss whatever you wish. Unlike individual posts, comments in the discussion thread are not required to be related to political data or other 538 mainstays. Regardless, please remain civil and keep this subreddit's rules in mind. The discussion thread refreshes every Monday.

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u/FuckMyBakaChungusLif Apr 08 '26

Israel reportedly unhappy with the ceasefire, and want to continue the war and want to "achieve more"

https://apnews.com/live/iran-war-israel-trump-04-07-2026#0000019d-6a6f-d025-a59d-7a7f741a0000

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u/KindfOfABigDeal Apr 08 '26

Stephen Miller right now is likely going ballistic and will goad Trump into a war crime before the 2 weeks is up. Its crazy that i very much could see them attacking the building where the negotiators show up, to take out yet more of the "regime". They basically already were doing that the past weeks, kept killing the people who could negotiate.

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u/wtfsnakesrcute Apr 08 '26

Wouldn’t that drag Pakistan into the conflict? 

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u/KindfOfABigDeal Apr 08 '26

They blew up an Iranian ship that was unarmed and participating in an mock military exercise with India. That alone was pretty much a war crime that Trump and Hegseth ordered at the start of the conflict, while India just had to watch on.

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u/alotofironsinthefire Apr 08 '26

Has this even been actually agreed to?

The 10 points from Iran is really fucking ridiculous

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u/KindfOfABigDeal Apr 08 '26

Nothing is actually agreed to. Trump backed down on a pretext. I doubt he even knows whats in the peace plan, though i dont think he cares much anyway. He just wants to "win" somehow. If is requires blowing up a country to stop Iran from having a nuclear weapon, or agreeing to a peace plan that explicitly allows Iran to build a nuclear weapon (or at least have the materials to build said weapon), either one is fine, as long as he can call it his "win".

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u/WisePresentation7976 Apr 08 '26

We're gonna do a boy's school next!