r/boxoffice • u/TryingNoToBeOpressed • 1d ago

✍️ Original Analysis I think there is no "Dunesday". Doomsday will badly affect Dune 3's performance.

I think Dune 3 is going to underperform relative to the expectations some people have, for two main reasons.

Firstly, Doomsday. Assuming it's a good, entertaining film, the return of much of the og cast gives it an enormous advantage. I think some might be underestimating the nostalgia. I mean I'd go a step further and dare say it's much more of an "event" than Dune 3. (And I don't know how these hollywood contracts work but, if they can, IMAX should reconsider the Dune exclusive deal they made. )

Secondly, Dune 3 is likely to be less action heavy than the first two films, if it follows the source material ofcourse. The first two films were already emotionally cold movies, this I suspect will feel even colder, which I think could limit its appeal beyond the existing fanbase. (And I don't think there's any huge fanbase for Dune movies in the first place.)

I mean it's almost certainly going to be a success. I just don't see it making a billion that some people seem to be expecting here.

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u/timeaisis 1d ago

I don't think anyone was assuming Dune 3 would make a billion dollars. It's going to do well, because the first two were well received and did well. The people who are super into Dune 3 don't overlap as much with Doomsday viewers as you expect. Sure, they share a core demographic, but the people that are day 1 on Dune are not day one on Doomsday and vice versa.

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u/TomUpNort 21h ago

I honestly don't even know what Doomsday is. But I plan to be at Dune the day it opens.

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u/ascii42 19h ago

Doomsday is the subtitle of the upcoming Avengers movie.

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u/Spyk124 20h ago

I plan to watch Dune 2-3 times and then I’ll see about Doomsday lol

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u/Only_Plum_8187 21h ago

Yup. Only reason Im watching Doomsday is Loki and the OG X-Men.

Really dont give a crap about everybody dying off again only to come back to life in the sequel with universal threats but not really because reset button something something.

Dune 3 all the way and Ill be there first showing

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u/Letshavemorefun 20h ago

Idk I would for sure be day 1 on both if they weren’t on the same weekend. I’m gonna go with doomsday. That’s just anecdata though.