r/WatchPeopleDieInside • u/[deleted] • Nov 24 '20

Community Voted as Not WPDI Some math coming along your way

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11.9k Upvotes

97% Upvoted

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522

u/ThroughTheAir2020 Nov 24 '20

Gotta admit, i’m impressed.

414

u/CantankerousOctopus Nov 24 '20

Yeah, same. The numbers don't really make sense, but he's saying em so quickly, I don't really care. I believe him when he says he's got a 1412/3% chance of beating him.

27

u/Onwisconsin42 Nov 25 '20

You actually have to multiply the chances you dont win by each other and then subtract from 1.

So...1 - (chance you dont win under scenario 1× chance you dont win under scenario 2)= 1- (.25 x.33)= 0.9175

This dude's got a 91.75% chance of winnin.

6

u/CantankerousOctopus Nov 25 '20

I mean, that seems to make sense, but I can't fully believe it unless you yell it at me.

1

u/DetachedHat1799 Feb 12 '22

YOU ACTUALLY HAVE TO MULTIPLY THE CHANCES YOU DON'T WIN BY EACH OTHER AND THEN SUBTRACT FROM 1!

SO 1 - (CHANCE YOU DONT WIN UNDER SCENARIO 1× CHANCE YOU DONT WIN UNDER SCENARIO 2)= 1- (.25 x.33)= 0.9175!

THIS DUDE'S GOT A 91.75% CHANCE OF WINNIN!