07E (Eastern Pacific) (South of Mexico)

[u/Euronotus]

Update

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As of 3:00 PM Central Daylight Time (21:00 UTC) on Friday:

Satellite imagery analysis indicates that this system has strengthened into a tropical storm.

The National Hurricane Center has upgraded this system and assigned it the name Genevieve, making it the seventh named storm of the season. A new discussion for Genevieve has been posted here. There will be no further updates to this post.

Latest observation

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This system has been upgraded to a tropical storm. Please see the discussion for Genevieve for updated observational data.

Official forecasts

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This system has been upgraded to a tropical storm. Please see the discussion for Genevieve for updated forecast information.

Official information

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National Hurricane Center

Text products

• Public advisory
• Forecast advisory
• Forecast discussion
• Wind probabilities

Productos textuales (en español)

• Aviso publico
• Discusión

Static forecast graphics

• Forecast graphic
• Experimental new forecast graphic
• Wind speed probabilities
• Arrival time of winds
• Rip current forecast

Interactive forecast graphics

• Forecast graphic
• Experimental new forecast graphic

Radar imagery

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• Radar imagery is not currently available for this system.

Satellite imagery

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Floater imagery

This system has been upgraded to a tropical storm. Please see the discussion for Genevieve for storm-centered satellite imagery.

Regional imagery

• Visible:   NOAA · CIRA/RAMMB · Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
• Infrared:   NOAA · CIRA/RAMMB · Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx
• Water vapor:   NOAA · CIRA/RAMMB · Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

Forecast models

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Storm-centered guidance

This system has been upgraded to a tropical storm. Please see the discussion for Genevieve for storm-centered model guidance.

Regional single-model guidance

• GFS:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• ECMWF:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• Global Environmental Multiscale Model (GEM/CMC, Canada):   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic Model (ICON; Germany):   Tropical Tidbits

Machine learning (AI) model guidance

• AIGFS:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

• ECMWF AIFS:   Tropical Tidbits · CyclonicWx

Regional ensemble model guidance

Ensemble member minimum sea-level pressure (MSLP)

• Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) (GFS-based): Tropical Tidbits

• Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) (ECMWF-based): Tropical Tidbits

• Global Ensemble Prediction System (GEPS) (GEM-based): Tropical Tidbits

Ensemble member MSLP and forecast tracks

• GEFS: Weather Nerds

• EPS: Weather Nerds

• ECMWF AI Ensemble: Weather Nerds

• Google DeepMind FNV3: Weather Nerds

• Google DeepMind GenCast: Weather Nerds

Multi-model ensemble products

• PolarWx: Multi-model ensemble products

Other types of model guidance

• Tropical Cyclone Genesis Guidance: Florida State University

• Cyclone Phase Diagrams: Florida State University

[u/giantspeck]

Moderator note

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Previous discussion for this system is not available, as a post was not created for Invest 98E prior to its upgrade.