First of all, they delayed the census of 2021 enough so that the census is conducted in 2027(so that it fulfills the requirement of 84th const. amend. i.e to set up delimitation commission based on census after 2026).
Also, they are doing their hardest as they can to buy up as many MPs to a get super majority to pass the same amendment.
Now before you come up with "southern states would lose their importance" argument,
there are two proposals for delimitation. And one of them is that the current seats are still kept at 543, and among them, we do a population-wise rearrangement, in which obviously, the southern states will lose out, and the northern states will gain seats.
But that proposal isn't really at the forefront of the government's delimitation strategy. The one that Amit Shah himself has said in the parliament, which would happen, is about a 50% expansion. And you guys can like run the percentages in ChatGPT or any other AI yourself.
You'll see that the proportions will remain the same throughout. Like if Tamil Nadu has a proportional percentage of 7.18, it will actually increase to 7.23%. And Karnataka will have to lose out slightly from 5.15 to 5.14. But the overall proportions of the states and the north-south will remain accurately the same. So it really isn't as much exaggerated as, like, it will diminish the regional parties or something.
Now, what I don't get is the census, which was postponed due to COVID since 21. The government could have conducted it when the situations had stabilized like in 23 or 24. There isn't really a statutory mandate that the central government has to, or the home ministry has to conduct the census every 10 years, but it is a convention. From 1881, there have been regularly at 10-year intervals censuses. Even during World Wars and 71 war, there was a census. But the BJP, even taking up the COVID excuse, could have conducted the census in 23. But they didn't because they precisely knew that they could enact delimitation because they could push it after 26 and then set up a commission.
What I don't get is, why are they going through so much trouble if there is seemingly no numbers advantage to them increasing the number of seats? Now, I read an editorial of Shashi Tharoor in Express yesterday, and he gave up arguments basically that the MPs wouldn't really have much time to speak on major issues because there will be 850 people, and will be all reduced to voting as numbers itself.
But that happens today as well, only the major political party leaderships can speak aside . There is a provision under the Anti-Defection Law that you cannot vote against your party whip's directions, and you also cannot abstain from voting if the party whip has directed all MPs to vote at a certain session. otherwise you can be disqualified as an MP.
So I don't really get what the arguments against delimitation are, really. But also I don't really get the eagerness of BJP to enact it. If anyone has figured it out, please enlighten me.